Will UAE Petrol Prices Go Down in January 2026? Here’s What Experts Say

Petrol and diesel rates for January 2026 in the UAE are expected to remain close to December levels, with final rates to be announced at the end of the month. The move follows modest year-end gains in global crude and a pricing system tied to international averages.

UAE petrol prices January 2026 - ADNOC Petrol pump UAE

Why January prices look unchanged

The UAE’s monthly pump rates track global oil benchmarks, plus distribution costs — a system set when subsidies were removed in 2015. That mechanism means small crude moves, not wild swings, decide retail outcomes.

Global benchmarks ended December modestly higher (Brent averaged about $61.5 per barrel for the month). That rise was almost offset by inventory data and forecasts for ample supplies in 2026, pointing to little net change for January pump rates.

December 2025 — exact prices that set the baseline

UAE petrol prices January 2026 anticipation showing a close-up of a fuel pump nozzle dispensing petrol into a car tank.
Fuel gradePrice (Dec 2025, AED/liter)Change vs Nov 2025
Super 982.70+0.07
Special 952.58+0.07
E-Plus 912.51+0.07
Diesel2.85+0.18
  • December figures were confirmed by press reports and industry trackers.
  • Prices are set monthly by the Fuel Prices Monitoring Committee following the Ministry of Energy’s pricing policy.

What could push prices up or down?

Upside risks: renewed geopolitical disruption to Venezuelan exports, or escalation around key producers, could tighten supplies and lift benchmarks.

Downside risks: stronger-than-expected crude stock builds, or a sharp post-holiday demand dip, could push diesel and petrol lower. Analysts say such moves would need clear, sustained data.

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Monthly Fuel Price Review System

Since fuel price deregulation in 2015, the UAE has aligned local fuel costs with international oil markets. The UAE Fuel Price Committee reviews and announces new rates on the last day of each month, with changes taking effect the following day.

This system ensures price transparency and reflects global market fluctuations, helping both residents and businesses plan their fuel expenses accordingly.

Understanding UAE Fuel Types

Which fuel should you use?

  • Super 98: For luxury cars, sports cars, and high-performance vehicles
  • Special 95: Most common – suitable for majority of passenger cars
  • E-Plus 91: Budget option for older cars and commercial vehicles
  • Diesel: For diesel engines only (trucks, some SUVs, commercial vehicles)

Key Fuel Price Dates in UAE

  • Announcement Date: Last day of each month
  • Effective Date: 1st of following month

What motorists should do

UAE petrol prices January 2026 forecast being considered by a motorist filling up their vehicle at a busy service station in Dubai.
  • Assume January prices will be similar to December, budget accordingly.
  • Watch for the official announcement in the final days of December or the first business day before January starts.

Conclusion

Monthly adjustments keep UAE pump prices closely aligned with world markets. For now, motorists should expect January 2026 rates to mirror December’s modest increases unless a clear supply shock appears. Officials and the Fuel Prices Monitoring Committee will confirm rates publicly at month-end.

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